Plus, he will be rather easy to beat in November.
I amazed that you say the 1st and follow it up with the 2nd. Here is the problem in communication you McCainics have here. You are so insultingly arrogant at the same time you are so fundamentally ignorant. Passion and commitment to your campaign is a good thing, arrogant cockiness about your candidate's chances is not.
No Obama will not be "easy" to beat. I am amazed that you lecture Freepers about "realpolitic" experience and then demonstrate such simple political ignorance.
It is very very very difficult for any party to win 3 Presidential elections in a row. In the last 75 years only the people following Major significant Presidents, Reagan and FDR, have managed it.
Everyone else has failed. Stevenson failed (1952), Nixon failed (1960) Humphery failed (1968)and Gore failed (2000) Only Bush 1 and Truman managed it and they road either FDRs or Reagan's Legacy to do it.
McCain has no such structural advantage. Bush 2 will not have a positive effect on the voters given his approval ratings.
The Democrats are like we were in 2000, Ground Glass Democrats. After 15 years they have their 1st chance to grab all 3 branches of Govt, they are fired up.
Obama or Hillary have massive advantages in money, organization and enthusiasm. We have a nearly broke tired old, poor speaking 25 year political insider.
According to all polling data the whole country is seriously pissed at the political class. Everyone in politics is seeing record low approval ratings.
Who is going to be better able to spin themselves as the outside running against "business as usual" in DC? A 1 term senator from the party out of power or a 25 career politician who is probably the 2nd or 3rd best know politician in the USA?
Structurally, this is a very hard year for the GOP. Only time will tell if the Democrats manage to self destruct. Looks right now like they might, but in politics, 9 months is an eternity. The Democrats are evil and corrupt but they are not stupid. For the most part, they are much better at politics then our side. They love this crap, most of our side merely endures it. The GOP faces a very tough fight this year. Anyone saying any different is simply lying to themselves
Plus, he will be rather easy to beat in November.
Mr. Obama will go down 54-45 in November.
In February, he is the Golden Boy. So was Dean, Weasley Clark, Muskie, etc.
By November, he will be an empty suit, former (?) Muslim, a member of a White-hateing church, a former drug dealer, owned by the Chicago machine, his mentor jailed, a maker of great speeches with empty promises, married to a Black Hillary.
In addition, everyone talks openly about the Angry Black vote staying home on Election Day if he is not nominated. If Hillary is not nominated, the Very Angry and Very Vocal Gay vote will be home also, along with their friends.
He would be sooooo easy to run and advertise against.
This is the Winter of the Dem’s Discontent (over the Hildabeast). The Spring Thaw follows, followed further still by a Long Hot Summer of TV looking for new stories every day. Obama cannot endure that.
Obama is a one-trick pony, great speeches.
Some ad story lines against him.
“Mr. Obama’s experience with anything more important that Chicago’s dirty politics began less than 4 years ago, when he was elected to the Senate in 2004. Now he wants us to give up in Iraq. Too bad he doesn’t remember 2001.”
A vet, minus a leg.
“I’m Sergeant Sam Smith. I grew up in New York in the shadows of the World Trade Center, and lost this leg in Iraq.
Because of Americans defending us against terrorism in Iraq, America, you and your family, are safer.
I never wanted to lose my leg, but if I had to do it again to prevent another September 11th, I would.
Please tell Mr. Obama not to surrender in Iraq. Please, Mr. Obama, don’t dishonor all our service by waving the white flag.”
Finally, the Obama treasure hunt, where kids and their fathers in tacky tourist clothes, with little shovels and pails, dig on a sandy beach to find Mr. Obama’s achievements. Of course, they find nothing.