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Clinton and Obama in close Super Tuesday races
Reuters ^ | 2/3/08 | John Whitesides

Posted on 02/02/2008 11:17:49 PM PST by saquin

Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are running neck-and-neck in California, New Jersey and Missouri two days before the sprawling "Super Tuesday" presidential showdown, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama has a slight lead in California and is virtually tied with Clinton in New Jersey and Missouri heading into the biggest day of voting in a U.S. presidential nominating campaign, with contests in 24 states from coast to coast.

...

In the Republican race, Arizona Sen. John McCain has double-digit leads on Mitt Romney in New York, New Jersey and Missouri but narrowly trails the former Massachusetts governor in California, the biggest prize on "Super Tuesday."

Romney leads McCain by 37 percent to 34 percent in California. The poll's margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.

"California could be Romney's last stand," Zogby said. "If he wins there, it may not be a whole new ballgame, but it can give those Republicans who oppose McCain hope they still have a chance to stop him."


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: clinton; election; elections; obama
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Just WOW on the Clinton/Obama numbers. They have Obama ahead 45-41 in CA and statistical ties in HRC's backyard New Jersey and also in Missouri.

Just for pure entertainment value, I'd love to see Obama take CA, NJ... and completely blow Billary away on Tuesday. The meltdown possibilities would be huge. Just get Bill near the press and watch him explode.

1 posted on 02/02/2008 11:17:51 PM PST by saquin
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To: saquin
The Clinton/Obama numbers are interesting in a train wreck rubber necking way but the Romney numbers hold a more personal interest.
2 posted on 02/02/2008 11:31:47 PM PST by Kudsman (Instead of ABC, try having ABAL in the booth. Anybody but a Lib, sorry if that excludes you Mr. GOP)
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To: saquin

You know the polls are getting bad when Hill has to send Bill back to lib California dressed as a hermaphrodite transvestite queen rocker hells angel.

3 posted on 02/02/2008 11:33:04 PM PST by red flanker
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To: saquin
Romney leads McCain by 37 percent to 34 percent in California. The poll's margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.

Well, what do we have hear. Zogby says McCain is starting to crash and burn.

4 posted on 02/02/2008 11:34:31 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: saquin

Lol...I am so with you on this.


5 posted on 02/02/2008 11:38:31 PM PST by top 2 toe red (Politics are about compromise, not about getting everything you want.... Truthsearcher)
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To: Red Steel

My Gawd...I love it! Go Mitt!! Now watch all the heads start spinning!!! Woohoo!!!


6 posted on 02/02/2008 11:39:37 PM PST by top 2 toe red (Politics are about compromise, not about getting everything you want.... Truthsearcher)
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To: saquin
I don't think Zogby knows diddly about much of anything.

First of all we know that a very large segment of the Republican party does not like John McCain. He has betrayed too many people too many times.

There is no way that McCain can lock up the nomination on Super Tuesday. If McCain won every delegate up for grabs he would still be a few votes shy. And he is not going to win a huge victory on Super Tuesday. He may win a majority fo the super tuesday delegates but he won't win them all.

He may end up with 6 or 7 hundred delegates but he will need almost 1200 to win on the first ballot. I think that all Romney has to do is keep McCain from having enough votes to win on the first ballot.

After Super tuesday we have weeks of campaigning with another 1000 delegates up for grabs at the rate of about 6 4 per week. And McCain will have to campaign in all those races. The more he gets hit by local as well as national media the worse he will do. He is not good on his feet speaking. Over those weeks he will surely blow it.

Watch what happens as McCain gets 3/4 of the delegates he needs and then can't get the rest. It is not over until it is over.

If no one wins the nomination on the first ballot, watch for Romney to win it on the second.

McCain has little experience turning losers into winners. It is how Romney made his hundreds of millions.

7 posted on 02/02/2008 11:43:02 PM PST by Common Tator
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To: saquin
In the Republican race, Arizona Sen. John McCain has double-digit leads on Mitt Romney in New York, New Jersey and Missouri but narrowly trails the former Massachusetts governor in California, the biggest prize on "Super Tuesday."

Actually since New York is WTA, and California is proportioned and a close race, it looks like NY will be the big Delegate prize for McVain.

8 posted on 02/02/2008 11:43:35 PM PST by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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To: saquin

Looks like Romney might take CA! Wouldn’t that be sweet? Ol Arnold and all the rest of the CA Rinos could be eating crow.

Snowe and Collins got a big bird handed to them tonight with Mitt winning over 50% of the vote in Maine.

People I feel something happening. The Straight Jacket Express could be imploding.

We just can’t let the RNC and a bunch of Open Border traitors take our country from us. Get out and vote on Tuesday and send Mitt a donation. POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!!


9 posted on 02/02/2008 11:50:01 PM PST by lone star annie (McCain hates me and I'm glad he does)
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To: saquin

Wow, this is turning out to be quite an interesting primary. Just when the media thought they had it all figured out, it turns on a dime, lol. I want to see Hillary sweat this one out, however, the Obama crowd are worrisome, they seem to be jumping on the bandwagon and according to an article I read about some of them, they have no idea what the guy stands for.

I was listening to the radio tonight for about an hour, the calls were all pro Romney (I’m in CA).


10 posted on 02/02/2008 11:59:53 PM PST by CAnewsjunkiefemale
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To: Red Steel

It is over.

John McCain to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008

Last Price: 91.5

Mitt Romney to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008

Last Price: 7.9

http://www.intrade.com/#


11 posted on 02/03/2008 12:00:09 AM PST by DogandPonyShow (America, the Light of the World.)
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To: Common Tator

two words: military strategy. Something that draft dodging liberal from Massachusetts will never understand.

McCain knows exactly what he is doing. He has, after all, won and was re-elected many times with very little money. He also has many many real close friends. Unlike Romney.


12 posted on 02/03/2008 12:05:31 AM PST by ari-freedom (Pro-life values voters defeated Rudy. Romney is next to go.)
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To: DogandPonyShow

the problem is, Romney doesn’t really believe in markets...


13 posted on 02/03/2008 12:07:23 AM PST by ari-freedom (Pro-life values voters defeated Rudy. Romney is next to go.)
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To: DogandPonyShow
It is over.

Oh, not really.

14 posted on 02/03/2008 12:08:04 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

it is...for romney’s kid’s inheritance money. So much for ROI hehehe


15 posted on 02/03/2008 12:10:05 AM PST by ari-freedom (Pro-life values voters defeated Rudy. Romney is next to go.)
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To: DogandPonyShow

You realize that these are people who are, essentially, gambling? These prediction markets follow the days news, not vice versa.


16 posted on 02/03/2008 12:14:01 AM PST by COgamer
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To: ari-freedom

Military strategy?

Please tell me one military operation that John McCain was in charge of strategic planning.

There is no evidence whatsoever that McCain has any above average understanding of military strategy.


17 posted on 02/03/2008 12:22:47 AM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher

He was in congress since 1982. He comes from a very strong military background. He knows practically everyone who’s who in the military. This is not some one term failed governor we’re talking about.
If he was, he wouldn’t have this
http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/News/PressReleases/Read.aspx?guid=8313996a-5d94-4fd6-8cd4-43a9947afd28

Now if you think some draft dodging pretty boy from massachusetts can hold his own against a Captain, Purple Heart and experienced Senator who has seen the rise and fall of the Soviet Union, Bosnia, Iraq and everything in between, as well as understood what it’s like to have experience real torture in Vietnam, you can bet all the money you want. It aint my money.


18 posted on 02/03/2008 12:46:07 AM PST by ari-freedom (Pro-life values voters defeated Rudy. Romney is next to go.)
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To: ari-freedom

Drawing a high lottery number is quite different than draft dodging wouldn’t you admit? He entered the lottery and drew #300.


19 posted on 02/03/2008 1:13:44 AM PST by byteback
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To: byteback

come on, his whole family enjoyed military deferment for many years. And so, instead of ending up in Vietnam, he spent his time in france.
http://www.boston.com/news/politics/2008/specials/romney/articles/part1_side_2/

Whatever the excuse, it doesn’t matter. He still won’t be any match for mccain
And mitt will be creamed by hillary if he tries to defend Iraq policy.


20 posted on 02/03/2008 1:27:46 AM PST by ari-freedom (Pro-life values voters defeated Rudy. Romney is next to go.)
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