Posted on 01/29/2008 10:47:31 PM PST by Red Steel
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) -- After Florida Republicans make their presidential views known, the next Republican battleground plays out over the nearly two dozen states participating in Super Tuesday. A look at the current polls indicates John McCain is in the best shape in most of the states followed by Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney.
Naturally, McCain fares best in his home state of Arizona where surveys show him with about 40 percent of the Republican vote and Romney at about 20 percent.
California voters side with McCain giving him a 31-23 percent advantage over Romney and Giuliani and Huckabee are at 11 percent each. Illinois Republicans favor McCain 31 to 20 percent over Romney with Huckabee and Giuliani in low double digits.
McCain also leads in the northeast, despite the presence of both Romney and Giuliani in their stomping grounds. He leads Giuliani 39 to 16 in Connecticut, is ahead 29 to 26 percent in New Jersey, and even leads in New York by a 32-22 percentage point margin.
The senator has a 37 to 28 percent lead over Huckabee in Oklahoma while Romney draws the support of 18 percent there.
Romney holds a lead in Colorado, a heavily Mormon state that rewards him with 43 percent of the GOP support there. McCain has 24 percent and Huckabee 17 percent. As expected, he also leads in his home state of Massachusetts with a 50 to 29 percent lead over McCain.
Mike Huckabee fares best in the southern states near Arkansas, where he is a former governor,
In Alabama, he is tied at 27 percent with McCain while Romney pulls in the support of 15 percent. George Republicans favor Huckabee by 34 to 19 percent over McCain.
Huckabee and McCain are tied in Missouri, where the leading pro-life group recently issued an endorsement for Huckabee, and the former governor leads in Tennessee, where pro-life groups have endorsed him following the departure of Fred Thompson.
Minnesota, Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, Arkansas, Alaska, and West Virginia also vote in Super Tuesday. Romney is expected to win easily in Utah and Huckabee will likely capture Arkansas.
With a close race, some political observers are looking at the delegate totals with the potential that the battle for the Republican nomination could go all the way to Minneapolis this summer. Mitt Romney currently leads with 59 delegates, Huckabee has 40, McCain 36, Ron Paul 4, and Giuliani 1.
On Super Tuesday, most of the states award delegates based on a proportion of the votes in the primary or caucus.
Those that award delegates on a winner-take all basis include Missouri, (a tossup between McCain and Huckabee), as well as Arizona, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut -- all states where McCain is currently leading. Utah and Montana do as well, which would favor Romney, and Delaware, a sate where McCain is likely leading.
Because the southern states give out delegates on a proportional basis, Huckabee’s ability to add to his delegate totals is weakened. Should the campaign go to a brokered convention, however, Huckabee may have earned enough delegates to play a role in deciding the eventual nominee should no one win enough outright.
Republican voters in Maine head to the polls on February 1 in a race that has garnered little in the way of national attention.
Following the Super Tuesday vote, Republicans in Kansas, Louisiana and Washington head to the polls, and then GOP voters in Virginia, Maryland and Wisconsin. The rest of the states do not cast primary ballots until March or later.
Guys, are you even reading....the headline is misleading. McCain is even leading in Oklahoma. There is barely nowhere that he is not leading.
He will win the nomination unless Mitt just DESTROYS McCain tonight in the debate. Pray for a major error by McCain tonight.
I don’t know who will win ST but McCain I would think has an advantage going in. There are several winner take all states and I believe he is leading in many of them. I also heard some commentary last night that Romney was focusing on a selected few rather than competing in those he’s down in.
Here is a list of the ST states and their selection process:
Alabama (48, WTAP/T2P+PP);
Alaska (29, CC);
Arizona (53, WTAP);
Arkansas (34, PP);
California (173, WTAP);
Colorado (46, CC);
Connecticut (30, WTAP);
Delaware (18, WTAP);
Georgia (72, WTAP);
Illinois (70, LP);
Massachusetts (43, PP);
Minnesota (41, CC);
Missouri (58, WTAP);
Montana (25, AP);
New Jersey (52, WTAP);
New York (101, WTAP);
North Dakota (26, CC);
Oklahoma (41, WTAP);
Tennessee (55, WTAP/PP);
Utah (36, WTAP);
West Virginia (30, WTA+PP+CC)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/ccad.phtml
No, Romney is done.
There is a better than fifty-fifty chance Huck is standing on the convention stage as VP candidate.
Romney will only be there to endorse McCain.
Unless of course he flips on that too, and becomes a Democrat.
He did offer Iowans Ethanol subsidies; Michiganers money to save the auto industry, and residents of Florida subsidized prescription meds and support for the AARP. That does align him closer to Edwards/Obama/Clinton than even McCain. (McCain told Iowans no subsidies for ethanol, and Michiganders their auto jobs are gone, "get over it.")
I go to Florida quite often...
The RNC hacks in D.C. rigged the election with the structure of the primaries and with the willing help from the bowels of the DNC...
C’mon my fellow Southerners. You are counted on in every election more than any other part of the country and you always come through. Give up on Huck, he is playing you. If you don’t like McCain (and I know most of you don’t), then don’t waste your vote on Huck.
You caught that too, didn't you? Isn't Colorado a mostly Evangelical state, headquarters for Jim Dobson, Focus on the Family and all that?
I suppose being next door to Utah, it has slightly more Mormons than the national average, but by how much? Any good data out there?
Denver, where most of the population is concentrated, is as far from Salt Lake City as Sacramento, isn't it?
It looks like McCain is gonna win a slew of delegates Super Tuesday. Sigh.
Now that Edwards has endorsed Obama, I want every Republican in the country, coast to coast, to explain to me how a 72-year old volatile man with a nasty temper, wrinkles, and turkey neck who can barely string 3 coherent sentences together is going to look in a series of televised debates against a young, smooth, charming, attractive, articulate Democrat, who happens to be a minority for good measure.
McCain: “Experience matters.”
Obama: pivoting to camera: “The 21st Century requires new solutions, a new chapter for America. I thank the distinguished senator for his service to the nation and I assure the American people that I will call upon the senator for advice and counsel in foreign policy matters.”
Election over.
How the RATS must be laughing today. Thanks again, Iowa and New Hampshire.
It's the call sign of the Helicopter the president travels on, The Jet is Airforce 1.
Breakdown of Religious Persuasion in Colorado
Christian Self-Identifications – 68%
Roman Catholic – 23%
Christian – 9%
Baptist – 8%
Methodist – 5%
Lutheran – 5%
Episcopalian – 3%
Presbyterian – 3%
Pentecostal – 2%
Churches of Christ – 2%
The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints – 2%
Protestant – 2%
Jehovah’s Witness – 1%
Seventh-day Adventist – 1%
Evangelical – 1%
Non-denominational – 1%
Jewish 1%
I have another theory as to why McVain did so poorly in Nevada, Wyoming and is doing so poorly in Colorado: the neighbors know him better than the enemedia pimps and dumbed-down voters outside his home terriroty. Which do you think is correct?
The Presidential Helicopter (just as Air Force 1 is the President's official jet airplane...)
the infowarrior
The Presidential Helicopter (just as Air Force 1 is the President's official jet airplane...)
the infowarrior
The Presidential Helicopter (just as Air Force 1 is the President's official jet airplane...)
the infowarrior
the infowarrior
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