Any scenario except a Rudy win in FL, means that McCain wins NY and NJ, which are winner take all. That allows he and Romney to be the two remaining candidates and one of them will end up with a majority of delegates.
Even if Mitt wins Florida, as you said, that does not slow down McCain. Mitt is not going to win NY and NJ, either Rudy or McCain will depending on who wins Florida. After Super Tuesday (and maybe after Florida) it will either be Mitt vs McCain (and I think in that battle McCain wins easily) or Mitt vs Rudy (in which Mitt has a chance because Rudy was wounded in the early primaries).
Regardless of the delegate count right now, McCain is the strongest going in, only because Rudy is weak. Rudy and McCain share too many of the same voters to keep them both viable. So my advice to FredHeads in Florida, who want to slow down McCain, is to vote Rudy and not Mitt!
“Any scenario except a Rudy win in FL, means that McCain wins NY and NJ, which are winner take all. That allows he and Romney to be the two remaining candidates and one of them will end up with a majority of delegates.”
Thanks for wrapping up the bow and putting this in context. The media would love to see the Republican party split asunder. Would guarantee their candidate of little experience, Shrillary or Obama gets a smooth ride.
Of course it’s great to get this from the GraniteState. :)