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Ron Paul has beaten Thompson in 3 out of 6 states so far and only has one delegate less than him.

And he doesn’t pretend to be a serious candidate to win.

Meanwhile Thompson was ‘all in’ in Iowa, needing ‘at least a strong third’ to gain momentum. He didn’t get it. Rational onlookers saw his campaign was in dire trouble then.

He was ‘all in’ in South Carolina. His entire campaign was predicated on a win in South Carolina to launch it. As time went on his supporters saw that that wasn’t an option and tried to pretend that second or even a ‘strong third’ would suffice. It wouldn’t have but he didn’t achieve any of those things anyway.

A brokered convention is still more unlikely than likely. If it happens it will involve deals between candidates with large numbers of delegates. It won’t involve everyone suddenly opting for someone who has already been rejected nationwide by the voters.

If Thompson can’t win South Carolina, where can he win?

Meanwhile, if he does choose to limp on, it’s off to Florida and another scrap with Ron Paul for fifth. I don’t think Thompson got in the race to fight with Ron Paul for fifth places. I wouldn’t be amazed if he carried on nominally competing until Super Tuesday, but I think it more likely he’ll call it a day now.

I think you are right, I think he will go to Tennessee and visit his mother for a day or two, and then make the announcement that after pondering the consequences he has decided to stop his campaign.

He has no support in Florida, and probably no money to compete there. Rudy has been flooding the media with his commercials all the while there are reports that in some places almost 40% of people have already voted!

Floridas ending date may be February 29th, but if everyone has already voted there before that time, that is really just the day that the ballots will be counted.

Fred did not say last night where he was headed, or if he was headed anywhere at all besides home to see his mother, so to me right there that was the biggest indication that as of last night he was done. He wasn't ready to make it a final decision, but I do think his campaign team will crunch every number available to them in the next few days, and see the writing on the wall.