At least one thing can be said - Fred ain't stoopid!
Posted on 01/19/2008 7:01:26 AM PST by dangus
MSNBC just called Nevada for Mitt Romney!
“If Fred can’t win SC, where can he win”?
This is being asked in a vacuum, and in the real world there are specific circumstances that apply and no vacuums to be found.
Huck won Iowa. McCain NH. Mitt Michigan. Does Fred have to win SC in like manner? Absolutely NOT. This party is split seven ways from Sunday. Conditions are very volatile. People report agonizing and changing their minds several times and going into the voting booths only to decide right then and there. No clear winner with enough to win on the first ballot at the convention IS a possibility.
A candidate like Fred who hangs in there can also move up (in some states) as the primaries roll along and some folks become discouraged or disillusioned with their original favorites or learn more about Fred than they knew. Then polls can change and votes can change.
Don’t forget that not only are folks split among candidates but they are also split along “economic conservative, national defense conservative and social conservative” lines. Fred is one candidate who can bring together these factions and more time for him to show that is indispensable
Fred needs to do well in SC and keep on truckin’.
Huck was down seven, now he’s up ten. That’s why I said seventeen points RELATIVE to McCain.
Now, Huck gaining ten points (40% of his previous total) is also big news. But in case you hadn’t noticed, this audience cares about Thompson. And, unlike Huck, it’s make-or-break for Thompson. So around here is MUCH bigger news... and his gain is proportionally much bigger (offhand, what, about 70%)than Huck’s gain.
Fred is ROLLING!
Your reply # 50.
Excellent analysis!
At least one thing can be said - Fred ain't stoopid!
Spin, spin, spin, who's going to get it? I'm getting dizzy!
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