I’ve been saying it’s going to be brokered since right after Iowa.
And I think it will be a good thing.
We’ll have 6 months of our 5 candidates taking free shots at the Democrat nominee, and they’ll have no one to shoot back at other than President Bush, who won’t be on the ballot.
I don’t think a front runner will emerge after Feb. 5th. I think there will be no front-runner going in, and the results will be mixed. Every candidate will have reason to continue, and their supporters will become ever more determined. If not by the results of Feb. 5th, then soon after the mathematics will become so highly improbable that any candidate can reach 1,191 delegates as to make a brokered convention unavoidable.
I think this favors Fred Thompson, because he’s the only candidate that is acceptable to all factions of the GOP. This is important from the RNC’s standpoint, because any other candidate would pose a risk of jeopardizing fundraising.
I’ve been reading your posts on this subject.
I think you are right, if not totally, then you are very close.
One problem though- the RNC is against Fred. He doesn’t toe the line they want. They came out strongly in favor of the immigration bill- and Fred’s against it.
“I think this favors Fred Thompson, because he’s the only candidate that is acceptable to all factions of the GOP. This is important from the RNC’s standpoint, because any other candidate would pose a risk of jeopardizing fundraising.”
This is so obvious you’d think the general public would understand.
1) Rudy weak on 2nd amendment and family
2) Mitt is a flip flopper and yes, has the Mormon problem
3) Huckabee has a mean streak and zero foreign policy ability
4) McCain is insane.
Fred is the only one who doesn’t split the party one way or another. The backroom boys will have to muscle this one somehow.