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To: clyde asbury; Telepathic Intruder; chainsaw; xcamel; RightWhale; Reform Canada; neverdem
It’s standard in statistics. Whether or not anything can be said from only 7 years of data is another question.

How can anyone draw a straight line through that mess of randomness? It looks like wishful thinking to me.

No, no, no.

That’s part of the problem - You’re TRYING to draw a straight line through the numbers, and the IPCC (even at this level, when ONLY it’s LEAST aggressive (slowest increasing!) temperature increase in being shown) IS CLAIMING a straight-line increase is DEMANDED by the linear CO2 increase of 1.1 percent each year).

Neither assumption is correct: Temperatures are cyclical, and show a sinusoidal variation with time: Globally, temps rose 1/2 of one degree the 27 years from 1908 through 1935, then fell 1/2 of one degree from 1935 to 1972, then rose 1/2 of one degree from 1972 through 1998.

Since 1998 (an El Nino year - which NONE of the AGW programs can predict!), they have randomly oscillated about the temperature corresponding to 1996-1997: Statistically, as you can see from that part of the chart from 2002 to 2007, they have stayed about the same. Later years indicate a very slight cooling - which is what IS EXPECTED if the next 27 year downward trend has begun.

Yes, CO2 has linearly increased from approximately the early 1940's - exact measurements exist ONLY since the Hawaii lab opened in the early 70's - AS A DELIBERATELY ATTEMPT TO DETERMINE THAT CO2 LEVELS AFFECT CLIMATE.

The ENTIRE purpose of that lab to to "verify" what it was funded for - nonetheless, its data shows a linear increase in CO2 at 1.1 percent year.

Unfortunately for the AGW extremists, temperatures have NOT followed that trend: 27 years they go up, 27 years they go down, 27 years they go up, 7 years they stay steady (and begin to go down) ....

For this, the enviro's DEMAND the destruction of America's economy!

19 posted on 01/11/2008 6:20:42 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

My stock broker until his retirement used to draw straight lines through his stock charts and talk about moving averages. Maybe he still does, I don’t know. These charts look like stock charts, so the analysis was probably done by a stock broker.


26 posted on 01/11/2008 10:26:30 AM PST by RightWhale (Dean Koonz is good, but my favorite authors are Dun and Bradstreet)
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