Posted on 01/09/2008 1:50:51 PM PST by neverdem
This election isn’t only about change, it’s about surprise. Here are the top 10 surprises of New Hampshire primary night, 2008:
1. Republicans voted in nearly the same numbers as Democrats. In Iowa, Democratic interest swamped Republican interest. In New Hampshire, the Democrats had an edge, but it was not huge.
2. The polls on the Democratic side were wrong. Cynics will think this is no surprise, but in fact when you get a dozen polls saying the same thing (Obama by 9), that usually predicts the final result. The Obama people thought the polls were right. I’ve spent a lot of time with Clinton people recently. From their sour expressions, you know they thought the polls were right. But they weren’t.
3. Money is not god. Mitt Romney has spent roughly $80 million and run more ads than even Clinton and Obama. He’s 0 for 2.
4. Working-class women stuck with Hillary. The secret to her success, and the reason she may win the election in November (if she gets that far) is that less-educated women like her. Better-educated women are ambivalent, but the so-called waitress moms will stick with Hillary through thick and thin.
5. Republicans who oppose the war went for McCain, but Republicans who strongly support the war went for Romney. Go figure. The root, I suspect, is that McCain gets the Republican anti-Bush vote. New Hampshirites remember the last race and figure he’s so ornery he’s anti-Bush.
6. McCain won among voters concerned about the economy. He hasn’t articulated this as much, but McCain does understand middle-class anxiety. He’d better beef up that side of his agenda as he goes into Michigan.
7. Giuliani is fading. He spent more than Huckabee or McCain in New Hampshire. Voters like him. They just don’t see him offering...
(Excerpt) Read more at campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Were they? Or did Hitlery just bus enough out-of-staters in to pull it off?
But were the voting macnines faulty????
Is it the reverse of what happened in Iowa?
Obama Triumphs in Iowa Contest as Clinton Falters; Huckabee Rolls
"An estimated 220,000 Democrats showed up at caucus sites, compared to 124,000 in 2004. About 114,000 Republicans turned out. The last contested Republican caucuses in 2000 drew about 88,000."
My question exactly.
If those so-called waitress moms find out that the crying was faked and those tears were non-existent, Hillary is toast.
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