[The Ghost of FReepers Past]

Yes you are probably right. I have no reason to think Thompson will drop out early. This race is wide open.

[Kevmo]

Yes you are probably right. I have no reason to think Thompson will drop out early.
***I do.

Taking a snapshot right after the New Hampshire results started coming in, Thompson’s Nomination contract dropped below 2%, down to 1.6.

2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M 1.8 2.4 1.6 102809 -0.4

His presidential contract lost most of its value, it is only ahead of Hunter (still embedded in the field) by 0.1.

2008.PRES.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.3 0.4 0.2 41449 -0.5

2008.PRES.FIELD
Field (any other candidate) to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.2 0.3 0.1 17629 +0.0

His dropout contract rose 15 points to 90% for January, no change for February.

DROPOUT.JAN08.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Jan 2008 M 75.0 90.0 90.0 134 +15.5