“I would bet most of Rudy’s 20% is heavily concentrated in New York Metro, and that he’s in single digits elsewhere.”
I had posted to you a day or so ago that I didn’t think Huckabee could compete with Rudy on Super Tuesday. I have to hand it to you, while it remains to be seen whether Huckabee can make it to the end. He does seem to be gaining momentum.
I can see where Rudy gets damaged if he starts to look like he has chinks in his armor. I always wondered how deep Rudys Southern support was, but figured the pragmatic view that he was the most electable would win out. I’m not so sure about that now. Rudy is still in it, and Huckabee, and IMO McCain, at least for now. I’m not sure how this effects Romney yet. I do believe that if Huckabee continues to rise, and should he finish ahead of Fred in SC....Fred’s done. At that point my crystal ball gets foggy.
If Romney loses NH and Mi he will be out before SC and that changes everything!