What this means, if correct, is that how I vote makes no difference.
I have only one way of effecting the outcome the election, my wallet.
Living in a socialist Blue state I guessed this already.
The data comes from traders betting on the election. It is only January. There are likely to be lead changes this year, just as there were in 2004.
If McCain is the candidate, I think he could take MO and Nevada with a good possibility of FL, which is a swing of 43 EV’s but not quite enough.