All true EXCEPT if Hilary loses big in the primaries it will be difficult for the super delegates to nominate her. It would turn off a lot of the party base to get the candidate they clearly didn’t want.
I believe the supuerdelegates are required to vote as pledged on the first ballot; this system could conceivably yield the Dems a candidate they hate. Can’t make up my mind what Dem nominee scenario is the most appealing; I just hope the Republicans can pull together behind someone who will stand for core conservative principles.
That's part of the key. The other part is contributions. She has a lot of cash, but will need to maintain a healthy contribution level. If the money boys start to bolt, then look out. There's nothing cast in stone that these super-delegates HAVE to cast their vote as pledged.
#7 True to a point, but consider this..In a way Iowa, NH, Mich, SC are kind of low ball filters for the Dems...yes, it may show more Dems leading towards Obama...But the big smokescreen comes out on Super Tuesday when the MSM, the lib pundits, Hillary Bill and her followers will all say ‘ See, there is no clear trend, and she alone can beat the Reps’,so nominate her...and the delegates will !
She and hubby and Terry McAuliffe are Masters at obfuscating and they will befuddle the Dem masses,the MSM and many American people...Watch- she will be the Dem nominee on maybe the 2nd ballot, after giving due consideration to her most worthy opponent Obama...and then she will be coronated by unanimous acclamation of the delegates..Yes, the Fix is in...
If Clinton continues to lag in the primaries and the super delegates still nominate her, I suspect there will be a mass defection of the non-Hillaryites, along with calls for a third party run by Obama (unless she puts him in as VP) and probably a lot of stay-at-homes on election day.