Bingo!
i suspect if anything is afoot, we won’t know about it until the bombing has already started.
so far the markets are calm and they have a pretty good ear to the ground . . . so for now, it looks like 1) a provacative move by the Iranian naval RG and 2) a mid-air colission happening within a 48 hour or so time span. hopefully nothing more than a coincidence, but time shall tell