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To: All

All this talk and people keep forgetting the bulk of delegates on Super Tuesday are in Guilliani style states. He is pounding out ads there. All these plans and scenarios people are talking about are focused on a vague . . . just win in the south and everything will work out.

Well, it won’t. This is not a momentum year. This is a mathematical year. Romney is the GWB equivalent in funding and there is a big difference this year in that Guilliani has more money than any of GWB’s competitors in 2000. That makes it all mathematical in delegate count.

People are shooting at the wrong target. The target is Guilliani. He is very quietly going to grab the WTA state of NY and no one can stop that.


24 posted on 01/05/2008 9:48:11 PM PST by Owen
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To: Owen
I agree. And Huckabee will work to Giuliani's advantage--by making Giuliani look somewhat acceptable--while 'screening' for him in a few early races.

Which is why I repeatedly say on here....

Liberal Republicans are more dangerous than liberal democrats,,,

because liberal Republicans BLUR THE DISTINCTION between conservatism and liberalism,,,

MAKING LIBERALISM MUCH MORE ACCEPTABLE!!!

25 posted on 01/05/2008 9:54:43 PM PST by stockstrader (We need a conservative who will UNITE the Party, not a liberal who will DEMORALIZE it!)
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To: Owen

Rudy Giuliani lost to Ron Paul. And I think once the first candidate goes after him on it, they’ll all pile on.
Who has Giuliani ever beaten in an election? Ruth Messinger? The longer he’s on the campaign trail, the worse he does.

Republicans in the more moderate “Giuliani-style” states aren’t that much more socially liberal, there’s just fewer of them and perhaps they’re not as central as issues, certainly not central enough to accept Huckabee and his weaknesses on taxes, crime, immigration, and foreign policy, just because he’s an excellent standard-bearer on those social issues.

It’ll come down over the next few states between McCain, Thompson, and Romney, and whichever one is the strongest then is the one the vast middle of the party, the voters well between Giuliani and Huckabee’s positions, will shore up.


39 posted on 01/06/2008 3:14:19 AM PST by arroyo run
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