“South Carolina will be diluted on its own day by Nevada “
I think SC will be the major nut to crack for Fred. If he doesn’t win 1rst outright, IMO he’s done, and even if he wins 1rst place outright, that just gets him a ticket to a bigger fight where it will be still be an uphill battle for him.
JMO but I think he’ll finish 2nd or 3rd in SC behind Huckabee and Mitt(provided Mitt doesn’t drop out before then). With a2nd or worse finish in SC he’ll either drop out before Super Tuesday, or take such a drubbing that there will no longer be any point in continuing. Again, that’s JMHO.
IMHO Huck and Mitt both might be gone. Mitt is up against the wall in NH if he doesn’t win only his money will keep him in. Huckabee has to bring a big bounce from Iowa and the early polls aren’t showing that. He won’t be the only “flash in the pan” to come out of Iowa.