It seems to be settling down. Huckabee won convincingly, but he’ll lose NH, and probably Michigan & Nevada. Probably second in SC and Florida.
Romney did pee-poor for all his effort. He’ll probably lose NH, do OK in Michigan and Nevada - but losing Iowa & NH will be very hard on his chances. You don’t spend the money he did & build the organization he did and then come in a weak second in a caucus state.
Thompson finishing a weak third...maybe fourth...is a serious sestback. By Florida & SC, will anyone remember he is running?
McCain did very well for a state where he made no effort. He’s likely to win NH, and the media love him. Still, I can’t believe he’ll get over 25% in any republican primary.
Frankly, I don’t see a plausible path to victory for any of them. Brokered convention is sounding pretty good to me right now, since otherwise we’re likely to have Rudy, McCain, Mitt or Huckabee as a nominee - and two of them I won’t vote for, and two more I might not.
Dang! What a sorry state of affairs.
LLS
Thompson’s not dead yet. Hunter will probably be the first to leave the race, and what support he had will go to Fred. It remains to be seen if Huckabee can stay with the frontrunners.