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To: Checkers

Losing in Iowa and then in New Hampshire... the same as what many seem to say will cause Thompson to leave.


694 posted on 12/26/2007 5:33:06 PM PST by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his recent Liberal Definitive Stands.)
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To: Ingtar

“Losing in Iowa and then in New Hampshire... the same as what many seem to say will cause Thompson to leave.”

I don’t believe losing both states is enough to drive Thompson out of the race. What will doom any candidate is failure to place 1st, 2nd or 3rd in IA or be among the top two finishers in NH. While it is entirely possible that Fred will be among the top 3 in Iowa, I’ve seen no evidence he’ll come in first or second in NH. In fact, the latest Rasmussen has Fred!! at 3% and behind Ron Paul: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_primary-193.html

As to Romney, I’ve seen no evidence he won’t be in the top 3 in IA and among the top 2 in NH. So even if Mitt comes in second in both states, he stays in good shape.

As it stands now, it’s likely Huck, Mitt and one other person come out of Iowa alive. The top 2 in NH are likely to be Mitt and McCain.

It’s likely Mitt is the only viable candidate after NH. So I still don’t see a scenario where Mitt leaves the race.

But, if you have one, I’m all ears.


722 posted on 12/26/2007 7:43:14 PM PST by Checkers (First they came for the Mormons, but I said nothing because I was not Mormon.)
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