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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I simply doubt polls. I know I know. Polls are accurate. But come on.

Here are some recent polls and they are all ‘phone’ polls.

Are they landline? Cell? What? This is a huge factor I would think.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/iarep8-715.html
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus goers living in Iowa (527 Republicans and 73 no party (independent) voters).

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/iowa_poll_122107.htm
Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican cacus goers and 600 likely Democratic cacus goers, aged 18+, and conducted December 16-18, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4.5 percentage points for each party.

http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1395
The Zogby International telephone survey package included:

Iowa Republicans: 508 likely caucus–goers interviewed Nov. 29–Dec. 1, carrying a margin of error of +/– 4.4 percentage points.

Iowa Democrats: 514 likely caucus–goers interviewed Nov. 29–Dec. 1, carrying a margin of error of +/– 4.4 percentage points.


17 posted on 12/24/2007 10:03:00 PM PST by BGHater (If Guns Cause Crime Then Matches Cause Arson?)
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To: BGHater
Polls are simply static measurements of willing particpants. Here was NH.........


21 posted on 12/24/2007 10:26:47 PM PST by Names Ash Housewares
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To: BGHater
IMHO

ARG's poll appears to be a robo-phone poll(a recording does the questions), same for Zogby (zogby #s are old 12/01). Strategic appears to be done by a live person over a 3 day period. It seems that the robo-polls would be the least accurate.

I seem to get polled all the time because I am what is called a high propensity Rep voter (puts me in the most likely category) When a live person calls to conduct the poll, I always participate and give honest and solid answers. Can't say the same for the robo-polls.
34 posted on 12/25/2007 1:12:14 AM PST by Fred (The Demoroid Party is the Nadir of Nilhilism)
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