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To: Owen
The MOE for a sample size of 52 is 13%, not 4%.

And that means one candidate may actually be 13 points lower and another 13 points higher, right?

In other words, better than a coin flip but not much.

32 posted on 12/20/2007 11:47:50 AM PST by JCEccles
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To: JCEccles

Hard to say if that’s what they did. Maybe they have 600 likely voters in their sample, and just happened to mention the 8.7% number for . . . whatever reason.

Of even more interest in that sample is they took it over 4-5 days of sampling. This race is jumping around so much that 4 days ago look nothing like today.


33 posted on 12/20/2007 11:52:55 AM PST by Owen
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