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To: cogitator
"Because the IPCC scenarios are conservative."

Really? Do you have a link to back that up? Models predict ranges within a certain level of certainty.

34 posted on 12/14/2007 9:11:08 AM PST by avacado
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To: avacado
Chapter 5 Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level (PDF)
44 posted on 12/14/2007 9:21:11 AM PST by cogitator
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To: avacado
The IPCC sea level numbers

From the IPCC, courtesy of the link above: "Models used to date do not include uncertainties in climate-carbon cycle feedback nor do they include the full effects of changes in ice sheet flow, because a basis in published literature is lacking. The projections include a contribution due to increased ice flow from Greenland and Antarctica at the rates observed for 1993-2003, but these flow rates could increase or decrease in the future. For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly with global average temperature change, the upper ranges of sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table SPM-3 would increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m. Larger values cannot be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for sea level rise. {10.6}"

45 posted on 12/14/2007 9:23:54 AM PST by cogitator
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