[ejonesie22]

While I would tend to agree that prediction markets could be a better indicator given the fact that people with a better knowledge of the issue/object of investment tend to be involved, they are susceptible to the same dynamics that can sway polls.

Give the volatility of politics in this day and age and the amount of information and the speed of it’s acquisition via the Internet etc., I would not put too much stock in either markets or polls past their current value as a window on where things are, not where they will be.

[Kevmo]

as a window on where things are,
***Hence, the before & after snapshot of the debate, showing Hunter to be the winner. Just like the before & after showed Huckabee to the winner on previous debates.

.

.

.

Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts