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National Poll Confirms Hucka-Surge Among Grassroots Conservatives
Grassfire ^ | 12/11/2007 | Business Wire

Posted on 12/11/2007 12:58:11 PM PST by Ol' Sparky

Huckabee Support Increasing By 2-To-1 Margin; Most Trustworthy On Border Security

MAXWELL, Iowa--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The nation's largest statistically valid survey of grassroots conservatives has found that Mike Huckabee now enjoys a 2-to-1 margin of support over his nearest competitor—a dramatic shift from a similar poll conducted in September.

When asked whom they would vote for if the Republican primary were held today, 33% of grassroots conservatives preferred Huckabee—an increase from just 7% in the September Grassfire poll. Fred Thompson, who led Grassfire's May and September polls by wide margins, finished second—losing nearly half his support (15% down from 28% in September). Grassfire.org conducted the survey December 1-9, 2007 of all active Grassfire.org team members. Over 67,000 participated and the survey has a margin of error of less than 1% at a 99% confidence level for the Grassfire.org audience.

“Among grassroots conservatives, Huckabee is seeing a remarkable surge,” said Steve Elliott, President of Grassfire.org. Elliott added that grassroots conservatives find Hucakbee among the most trustworthy on the issue of stopping illegal immigration—barely eclipsed by immigration stalwart Tom Tancredo 18.9% to 18.4%. “They trust Mike Huckabee to secure our borders,” says Elliott.

Additionally, 25% of grassroots conservatives now think Huckabee will win the nomination—up from just 2% in September. And among the major Republican candidates, Huckabee is the least likely to spark an exodus if he wins. “All of these factors indicate Huckabee’s surge may have staying power and his upside potential is only escalating,” says Elliott.

Other findings:

* Nine of Ten grassroots conservatives list Border Security among their top issues.

* Giuliani still expected to win: Conservatives continue to expect Giuliani to win the nomination.

* Giuliani most likely to spark exodus if he faces Clinton, Huckabee least likely.

* Thompson biggest loser since September, but losses not likely done.

* Romney, Giuliani, McCain least trustworthy on immigration.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: huckabee
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1 posted on 12/11/2007 12:58:14 PM PST by Ol' Sparky
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To: Ol' Sparky

The preacher versus the screecher.


2 posted on 12/11/2007 1:05:36 PM PST by Greg F (Duncan Hunter is a good man.)
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To: Ol' Sparky

Yes, all 5 of the conservatives that answered the phone and talked to a poll taker.


3 posted on 12/11/2007 1:06:05 PM PST by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: Ol' Sparky

Dumb, dumb, dumb. I think this is mostly Evangelicals. I hope they wake up, take a second look, and smell the roses before it’s too late.

Hillary is gloating.


4 posted on 12/11/2007 1:06:45 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Ol' Sparky

A quick glance at the Grassfire.org front page explains why:

Grassfire Rallying 20,000 Citizens in 30 Days Who Want Kids Protected from Online Porn!

Sen. Brownback Introduces Ultrasound Informed Consent Act

Quite and interesting mix: Nanny-state and border control.


5 posted on 12/11/2007 1:10:43 PM PST by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his recent Liberal Definitive Stands.)
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To: Ol' Sparky
The nation's largest statistically valid survey of grassroots conservatives

And just how do they figure that? How about methodology or success rate?

6 posted on 12/11/2007 1:11:00 PM PST by BubbaBasher (WWW.TWFRED08.COM)
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To: Cicero

Yep, these Grassroots Conservatives don’t seem to understand what an Open Border disater the Huckster will be....WTH is wrong here?


7 posted on 12/11/2007 1:11:41 PM PST by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: Ol' Sparky

Elliott added that grassroots conservatives find Hucakbee among the most trustworthy on the issue of stopping illegal immigration—barely eclipsed by immigration stalwart Tom Tancredo 18.9% to 18.4%. “They trust Mike Huckabee to secure our borders,” says Elliott.
-

excuse me while I throw up


8 posted on 12/11/2007 1:11:45 PM PST by ari-freedom (Happy Chanuka! It’s just another ordinary miracle today.)
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To: Ol' Sparky

If this guy gets the nomination, Ill be voting Libertarian from this election till the day I die.


9 posted on 12/11/2007 1:14:08 PM PST by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: Ol' Sparky

Ahh..not me, although I am starting to believe we are DOOMED!!!!


10 posted on 12/11/2007 1:19:13 PM PST by alarm rider (Why should I not vote my conscience?)
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To: iopscusa

My take on it, and I hope I won’t be misinterpreted, is that sometimes Evangelicals can be too trusting and politically naive.

In the long run, they will come around and see Huckabee for what he is. But it might be too late. Let’s hope not.

It’s a good quality, in a way. If a preacher says “I have seen the light and I stand up for Jesus,” they believe him, until the fruits of his actions prove otherwise. But such trust isn’t a good idea when evaluating someone for public office.

You want to give people the benefit of the doubt, ordinarily. But not if your daughter asks if she should marry them, or if they are running for president. In such cases you can’t afford to correct a mistake after the knot has been tied.


11 posted on 12/11/2007 1:23:51 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: iopscusa

Damned good question...


12 posted on 12/11/2007 1:24:02 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Cicero

Looks like a sizable faction is taking the Hucka-bait. They don’t call it the Stupid Party for nothing, apparently.


13 posted on 12/11/2007 1:26:19 PM PST by GiveEmDubya
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To: Cicero

It’s the God will use this man and save us from all evil and we won’t have to do any thinking vote.....


14 posted on 12/11/2007 1:26:48 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Ol' Sparky
I'm tired of the "Hucka Cliche's".

Huck N' Uff

15 posted on 12/11/2007 1:30:56 PM PST by BallyBill (Serial Hit-N-Run poster)
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To: Cicero
OBL is laughing his arse off along with Hillary and Obama.
16 posted on 12/11/2007 1:38:09 PM PST by roses of sharon
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To: Ol' Sparky
From the Drudge report:

DEMS HOLD FIRE ON HUCKABEE; SEE 'EASY KILL' IN GENERAL ELECTION

************************************

**Exclusive**

Democrat party officials are avoiding any and all criticism of Republican presidential contender Mike Huckabee, insiders reveal.

The Democratic National Committee has told staffers to hold all fire, until he secures the party's nomination.

The directive has come down from the highest levels within the party, according to a top source.

Within the DNC, Huckabee is known as the "glass jaw -- and they're just waiting to break it."

In the last three weeks since Huckabee's surge kicked in, the DNC hasn't released a single press release criticizing his rising candidacy.

The last DNC press release critical of Huckabee appeared back on March 2nd.

[DNC Press Release Attack Summary:

Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) – 37% (99 press releases)
Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY) – 28% (74)
Senator John McCain (R-AZ) – 24% (64)
Senator Fred Thompson (R-TN) – 8% (20)
Governor Mike Huckabee – 2% (4)]

In fact, as the story broke over the weekend that Huckabee said he wanted to isolate AIDS patients back in 1992, the DNC ignored the opportunity to slam the candidate from the left.

"He'll easily be their McGovern, an easy kill," mocked one senior Democrat operative Tuesday morning from Washington.

"His letting out murderers because they shout 'Jesus', his wanting to put 300,000 AIDS patients and Magic Johnson into isolation, ain't even scratching the surface of what we've got on him."

The discipline the Democrats have shown in not engaging Huckabee has earned the praise of one former Republican Party official:

"The Democrats are doing a much better job restraining themselves than the GOP did in 2003 when Howard Dean looked like he was on the brink of winning the nomination."

A close friend to Huckabee explains: "Look, Mike is Hillary Clinton's worst nightmare. They should be squirming."

Developing...

17 posted on 12/11/2007 1:41:35 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Ol' Sparky

It seems as though “grassroots conservatives” are easily taken in.


18 posted on 12/11/2007 2:24:56 PM PST by isrul
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To: DeusExMachina05
"If this guy gets the nomination, Ill be voting Libertarian from this election till the day I die".

I'd be hard-pressed to vote for anyone but the GOP nominee...but if Huck gets it I honestly believe that Hillary would be the better choice.

yuk.

19 posted on 12/11/2007 3:02:40 PM PST by Mariner
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To: Ol' Sparky

What exactly is going on here? You would think that most conservatives would be put off by soft-on-illegals, soft-on-crime, big spender Huckabee.


20 posted on 12/11/2007 3:18:15 PM PST by popdonnelly (Get Reid. Salazar, and Harkin out of the Senate.)
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