No need to worry. AQI is a glory hounding machine that takes credit whenever it can. If they're not promoting fresh new attacks, the donations from Saudi financiers dries up, and the recruiting, local and foreign, dries up. They can't survive off of other people's successes. Especially not Shia ones.
I don't believe 200, only in that I don't think that AQI leadership could guess how many active members they have left to the nearest thousand. They're unpopular, broken, decentralized, and being hunted down left and right. Once their last VBIED cells are rounded up, they'll be unable to stage spectacular attacks, and the media coverage will evaporate. When that goes, they go. AQI is a media monster that can't survive without camera time.
The real fight will be with the Jaysh al Mahdi. But, how much does Iran really want to push us, now that they've got a breather from the NIE? They know that AQI is all but defeated, and JAM Special Groups will soon be getting our undivided attention. Why not quit while they're ahead? If they stop sending EFPs, (as opposed to slow down considerably, which they have done), we'll have no reason to attack them. A clean de-escalation for everyone.
You said:
“AQI is a media monster that can’t survive without camera time.”
What a profound and truth-filled statement! The sorry-a$$ world media has been feeding this very same monster for years. What a cash cow for them. Wonder where they are going to go now....