Isn’t the CIA cram-packed full of Clinonsistas and leftover Carterites? Kind of hard to get a paradigm shift with such a crowd when they can’t be fired.
We can all have a ‘high degree of confidence’ that the “Intelligence Community” which missed the 1979 Iranian Revolution, 1983 Beruit Bombing, 1989 collapsing Soviet Empire, 1991 Russian Communist attempted counter-coup, 1993 WTC bombing, as well as Khobar Towers bombing, USS Cole bombing, the 9-11 attacks, Madrid bombings, London bombings are “Dead-On” with their 2007 NIE - and those are only some of what they’ve missed - but they’re “Dead-On” (pun intended) with their 2007 NIE speculative piece since our intell within Iran is weaker than in any other country and this is what will make everyone ‘feel good’.