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To: Dr. Sivana

It might not work against him in the general, but it’s not going to help him in the primary with law and order Republicans.


14 posted on 12/04/2007 8:59:12 AM PST by LadyNavyVet (An independent Freeper, not paid by any political campaign.)
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To: LadyNavyVet
It might not work against him in the general, but it’s not going to help him in the primary with law and order Republicans.

Agreed. But there isn't a top-tier candidate who doesn't have at least one serious fracture in his "law-and-order" image. Giuliani wanted to be the law and order guy, but he has more problems along these lines than the rest of the candidates put together.

Frankly, I see an extremely unusual cycle where six candidates have no good reason to drop out. Each candidate has a base of support that will neither grow nor shrink past a certain point. Giuliani will STILL do well in the leftist bastions of the northeast and west coast. Iowa may not win it for Huckabee, but it certainly won't hurt him either. McCain can finish in second in New Hampshire, win Arizona, and hope for a brokered convention. Thompson should fare well in the south and the rural midwest. Romney will pick up Michigan, Mormon heavy states (nothing against LDS, but there is no doubt that Mormons tend to support Mormons). And Paul has no reason to drop out. His small but committed base will stick with him, and he can be a bit of a pest in crossover states, especially if the Dem race is uncompetitive.

I don't see Paul turniing over his handful of delegates to anybody.

I don't see any of the other five turning over delegates without a candidate with a clear path to a majority of delegates. Except for maybe Huckabee, none of these guys makes a very good VEEP prospect.
19 posted on 12/04/2007 9:15:32 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (Not a newbie, I just wanted a new screen name.)
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