Looks like the liberal/national coalition is leading by your numbers, just shy of a 2-1 margin, 62%-38%? Is this a good sign? What does the swing % mean?
It’s better than being behind, but these early results are predominantly coming from places that are fairly safe for the Liberals and Nationals.
The swing - basically, it’s how much the vote has changed since the last election. Labor is looking for a swing of over 4 or 5% in their favour to win, currently it is getting less than that, but it’s really too early to say much.
Someone explained their preference voting to me earlier today and I think I can answer your swing question.
The swing percent is how far a drop bear would fly if launched from a trebuchet with a counter weight equaling the difference in weight of the primary ballot stacks counted so far.
Their process is kind of confusing to me, so I could well have that part wrong.
It's too early yet to draw any conclusions. The % swing is the change for/against since the last election.