Live Thread: Australian Federal Election Count

24th November 2007

[naturalman1975]

In about minutes, polling booths across the eastern side of Australia will close, and counting will begin in the 2007 Australian election. I - and anybody else - who wants to become involved - will be posting in this thread updates based on Australian TV concerning the count.

[Brimack34]

Is this like the exit polls that were saying Kerry Wins?

[naturalman1975]

Polls have closed in Queensland. Kevin Rudd’s home state, and where Labor hopes for major gains.

[Dundee]

At 6:59:15 PM

Coalition 4.
Labor 3.
Unknown. 143.

[naturalman1975]

ABC numbers currently.

Lib/Nat 35
Labor 26
Other 1

[MinorityRepublican]

The sample of the exit polls is not large enough. Remember the exit polls said Kerry was going to win in 2004.

[Grimmy]

The swing is showing as +3.69 Labor atm at Virtual Tally Room.
It was as low as +1.60 Labor but was bouncing around the 2.ish area for a long time.

[Dundee]

At 7:01:40 PM

Coalition 5.
Labor 2.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 142.

[Dundee]

At 7:03:16 PM.

Coalition 8.
Labor 3.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 138.

[naturalman1975]

Braddon (marginal Liberal) - Labor ahead, but still in doubt.
Patterson (Liberal) - Liberal ahead,but still in doubt.
Parramatta (Labor, but nominally Liberal due to redistribution) - Labor ahead.
North Sydney (Liberal) - Liberals ahead.

[naturalman1975]

ABC current computer prediction.

Coalition 35.
Labor 26.
Other 1.

Channel 9 current computer prediction.

Coalition 18.
Labor 8.
Other 0.

[CutePuppy]

If John Howard loses his seat but his coalition wins, can he still be PM or coalition will have to nominate and select someone else? Thanks.

[Dundee]

At 7:07:59 PM.

Coalition 14.
Labor 8.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 127.

[naturalman1975]

Theoretically, he can remain Prime Minister for around three months, and in that time, could contest a by-election to re-enter Parliament.

But I suspect, he would stand aside immediately, and Peter Costello would become Prime Minister.

[Senator Goldwater]

That was Drudge’s latest, which I concede isn’t very current.

I’m very much in favor of Mr Howard continuing in office. He’s been a leader in the War on Terror, and a faithful ally to America.

[naturalman1975]

ABC current computer prediction
Coalition 50
Labor 34
Other 1

[Dundee]

At 7:14:19 PM.

Coalition 15.
Labor 17.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 117.

[naturalman1975]

ABC current computer prediction
Coalition 56
Labor 39
Other 1

[naturalman1975]

Deakin looks to have gone to Labor - and we needed to hold it.

[naturalman1975]

Wentworth which we need to hold - looks like we’ve held it, but still some doubt.

[naturalman1975]

ABC current computer prediction
Coalition 58
Labor 37
Other 1