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To: ModelBreaker
I'm not convinced the Huckabee phenomenon is going to last and if it doesn't, Fred is moving into a good spot.

And I think it IS a surge considering Fred reversed downward momentum. It means something, and it means something good. It was deemed negatively significant when Fred was polling below 3rd place in Iowa. Not that's he's displaced Rudy for 3rd, it's suddenly not significant to be in 3rd place anymore?

81 posted on 11/21/2007 1:11:06 PM PST by Route66 (America's Main Street - - - President Fred D. Thompson /"The Constitution means what is says.")
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To: Route66
"And I think it IS a surge considering Fred reversed downward momentum. It means something, and it means something good. It was deemed negatively significant when Fred was polling below 3rd place in Iowa. Not that's he's displaced Rudy for 3rd, it's suddenly not significant to be in 3rd place anymore?"

BINGO! WE HAVE A WINNER!!

82 posted on 11/21/2007 1:13:35 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: Route66
And I think it IS a surge considering Fred reversed downward momentum. It means something, and it means something good. It was deemed negatively significant when Fred was polling below 3rd place in Iowa. Not that's he's displaced Rudy for 3rd, it's suddenly not significant to be in 3rd place anymore?

Well, it's semantics. I would call it moving up a little in the polls. For FT, that's a good thing. But I wouldn't call it a "surge." The use of the term "surge" considerably overstates the actual results of the poll. What we're seeing for Huckabee is what I would call a "surge"--hopefully temporary; but a surge nonetheless.

83 posted on 11/21/2007 1:14:17 PM PST by ModelBreaker
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