Posted on 11/20/2007 10:08:24 AM PST by Aristotelian
Clinton’s Inevitability Evaporates in Iowa, while Thompson Fades Away
About that inevitability thing . . . just kidding.
Barely 50 days before Iowa, it matters about as much as Dick Cheney's approval ratings, or Barry Bonds' contract situation, or Robert Novak's newest secret source.
Ladies and gentleman, we have ourselves a race.
Toss out the 30-point lead in the national polls, the fundraising edge, the long list of endorsements, the bold predictions of Terry McAuliffe, Mark Penn, even Bill Clinton himself.
The new ABC News/Washington Post poll has Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., up on Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., in Iowa -- really in a statistical tie in the state where they could be playing for all the marbles. It's Obama 30, Clinton 26, and former senator John Edwards, D-N.C., 22 -- setting up a three-way scramble for the top spot in a state that's notoriously difficult to call in advance.
The worrisome signs for Clinton aren't so much in Obama's movement (and her lack thereof) as they are inside the numbers.
"A growing focus on fresh ideas coupled with lingering doubts about Hillary Clinton's honesty and forthrightness are keeping the Democratic presidential contest close in Iowa," ABC polling director Gary Langer reports.
"Most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they're more interested in a 'new direction and new ideas' than in strength and experience, compared with 49 percent in July -- a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among 'new direction' voters," Langer continues.
The comparable number favoring "strength and experience" is 33 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
“A growing focus on fresh ideas coupled with lingering doubts about Hillary Clinton’s honesty and forthrightness...”
Run Hillaryous Run!
“I could hardly breathe. Gulping for air, I started crying and yelling at him, ‘What do you mean? What are you saying?” ... hillary clinton, Living History
Lying History
I think this is a bump in the road for Hillary. MSM wants a race - somehting to report. Remember polls are taken to support a story. I can’t see Obama actually winning the primaries. I’d love it because he’d be easily beaten in the general election.
I agree.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.