Posted on 11/18/2007 9:05:01 AM PST by BenLurkin
RIVERSIDE Santa Ana fire weather is expected to make its second major blast of the year through the Southland next week, and Riverside County fire agencies are making plans to be ready when the winds arrive, Cal Fire officials said.
Twenty-five additional fire trucks will be staffed, positioned and ready to go Tuesday, officials told the Riverside Press-Enterprise.
By Wednesday, wind gusts approaching 70 miles per hour can be expected, forecasters told the paper.
More than a thousand dead or diseased trees were blown over by strong winds during the three-day Santa Ana condition that started Oct. 21, and many of those have not burned, officials said.
Residents are being asked to shelve plans to use barbeques, lawnmowers, dirt bikes or mechanical equipment, and to clean up any debris that may be lingering after last month's windstorms.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
In a a related story:
Nov 18, 2007 7:48 am US/Pacific
“Paroled Arsonist Served As Volunteer Firefighter”
(AP) SAN DIEGO A volunteer who fought San Diego County’s recent wildfires has a secret: He’s a convicted arsonist.
Steve Robles is now back in prison for failing to tell his parole officer he’d been working with the Ranchita Volunteer Fire Department.
Robles was paroled in May after serving time for a series of 1998 wildfires that destroyed three homes.
Last month, he joined the Ranchita Volunteer Fire Department and was on the front lines in battling the San Diego County Witch fire that destroyed 1,000 homes.
He’s not accused of setting it. His criminal background came to light two weeks later when a visiting state fire investigator recognized him.
Sounds like a SeeBS appeal to their terrorist friends. A heads-up that conditions are favorable to their trade.
Oh. Gosh. I. Am. SO. Excited.
Jeepers!!! Hopefully won’t be any more fires set by the criminal element out there in CA.
I read where the sound the source of the hot Santa Ana wind makes has been recorded, it goes ERRRRAAAAA, ERRRRAAAA, ERRRRAAAA.
I live near the Santa Ana Slot where the winds are the worst. Th local forecast for Wed. is breezy and lower to mid 70s, not a typical Santa Ana type pattern.
Santa Ana winds can occur through December.
Prayers that no one will play with matches....you all have had enough out there......
I’m not seeing any alerts on Accuweather...Theere was something midweek but they seemed to have pulled it.
Santa Ana and Model Flip-Flop
Friday, November 16, 2007
***********************EXCERPT***********************
Yesterday I wrote that there was a good possibility of a strong Santa Ana in the Tuesday/Wednesday time period for southern California. But at the same time I said the exact strength is going to depend on one big factor, what the upper level pattern. This is where the models were in disagreement yesterday and why I was not willing to jump full tilt into predicting just yet a very strong wind event.
There are times when we meteorologist can say with decent confidence what may happen 5 or 6 days away. This was the case with the October devastating wind storm. Models in October were in agreement for many days and did not waver. But this has not been the case with the potential upcoming wind event. The models have been all over the place with how the upper level pattern was going to aid the winds, a critical factor. I have had too much experience in forecasting over the last 34 years to jump all over an event and hype it when there is quite a bit of doubt.
Here is the latest on the potential Santa Ana winds coming. With the models now showing the Northwest upper level trough not dropping as far west and south, the high building in behind that trough is not looking as strong, nor as quick to build south either. This could mean the wind event may be delayed and not as strong as originally thought. Offshore winds wait to increase to during the day Tuesday and does not peak until Tuesday night and Wednesday. But they may only peak at a moderate rate, not a strong rate, far different than the October situation. Can the models flop back again? Sure and this is why a forecast of the potential upcoming event is just that, a forecast of a potential event. I am just going to wait and see how all this pans out before predicting exact wind speeds.
A new wrinkle in the models is that they are now bringing a second storm south out of Western Canada Thursday and drop it south strongly into the Southwest Friday and Saturday. This too would be followed by another good size surface high and after a weakening Santa Ana flow Thursday, it could increase again Friday into Saturday. The same models also show a lot more support aloft for the winds then too.
But once more, I must remind you that the models continue to be consistent in at least one thing, not being consistent. So, I am not going to jump all over the second event until I can be sure what the first event will bring.
Thanks for the weather site. OTOH: We may get a blast after all.
Blech.
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