Which is a reversal in Fred's polling trend. It seems that all this year, Fred has polled stronger on RAS than any of the other polls. Now we see Fred polling better on Gallup than RAS.
Does it really mean anything?
Today, no...but let’s see what the next week brings.
RAS is a tighter poll, of people really paying attention.
Gallup and Fox polls are cr8p, they are polling people who will never vote in the primary.
Rass is a robo poll I believe. That means it takes a few days for a change to register in the poll. Ex. Friday’s polling showing up on Monday. It’s a running average, like RCP’s. We’ll know in a few days if any bump occured for Thompson in Rass just for the endorsement of the NRTL alone.
I’ll admit the Gallop poll surprises me a bit.
I’m not really looking for a bump as a result of the endorsement. It may happen, but what I suspect it will do (and needs to do) is stop the hemorraging. If it does that, it means they’ll have 3-4 weeks to campaign their butts off along with the help of the NRTL’s membership (the real reason the endorsement is a big help is the colaition they bring into the equasion). A momentary bump in the polls isn’t what I want. I want to see if their membership responds to the coming mailings, commercials, phone calls and door to door soldiers I expect to be amping up.