Honestly, I’m not too interested in what is said on a forum at Intrade. I’m looking only at what is happening with the trades.
***That’s because your shiite don’t fly when it’s under the scrutiny of traders. And since you cannot break free from your political bias to talk about trading, your arguments become meaningless.
On Hunter, at 10 cents, there are NO buyers.
***That was the whole point to my post, to show that Hunter is extremely undervalued and to point out that it represents a chance not only to support a conservative, but to make money doing it. 40X return in a few weeks! By all means, please let me know when you see that kind of an opportunity for a conservative candidate.
Hence, no trades. And there WON’T be unless you decide to buy up some of those ten cent contracts yourself, instead of merely mouthing off about “smart money”. Unless YOUR money ain’t so smart.
***Your words here are full of invective rather than the kind of analysis that it really takes to dismantle my argument. It means that you simply like your candidate and you don’t want other people to support the other conservative candidate and you’ll throw in a few points about markets and trading here & there but what you say really doesn’t hold any water. As far as my money, I was recently accused of buying Hunter contracts and posting this stuff in order to get rid of them. So no matter what I post, the Thompson guys will come up with some accusation to make it look bad rather than respond to the analysis. For the record, I have no money down on Hunter, but not because I don’t want to, but the issue was covered on the thread in post #151.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts?page=1,250
By what reasonable analysis? You're the one touting the efficiency of the futures markets, yet you fail to accept that Hunter's "potential" is already built into the current trading price. That price has remained stagnant for four months now -- the market has spoken and it says that no one wants to take Hunter at even a potential 1000:1 payout.
Quite literally, you have NO idea what you are talking about. Everything you post is WILLFULLY ignorant, inexcusable, really.
There was NO invective in my last post, by the way, only what might have been eye opening insights.
Let me go pack to one point where you ignorance stands exposed. Hunter contracts at 10 cents are NOT undervalued by the market. And this has nothing whatsoever with whether or not I like another candidate. Even if I were a die-hard Hunter fanatic, this fact would remain. It’s OBVIOUS.
The Hunter contracts are OVERVALUED at 10 cents, and that’s precisely the reason there are no buyers. How many barrels of south texas light would be sitting on the loading dock unsold if they were priced at $10 a barrel? Exactly none. But what if they were priced a $1,000 a barrel. They’d sit there forever, just like the Hunter contracts are doing at 10 cents.
Come on, man, think about what you are saying! Unless you WANT to be taken for a fool.