Hey, Jonesie, let me ask you a couple of questions.
Should Hunter pass Thompson at Intrade, would you switch your support at that time? We needed to ask similar questions when Thompson was in the lead at Intrade and suggest that if he were to drop by more than 25 points, would you switch your support? No one did ask the question, but if they had, we would have gotten to hold those Freepers to their word. So now I’m asking what in your mind is something out of the realm of possibility. If Hunter passes Thompson at Intrade, will you give your support? I’m just trying to bump Hunter up to 4 or 5% at Intrade, since he is at 4% in the polls. Thompson is at ~6%. So in your mind this is not possible but in the Hunter followers’ minds it is quite possible. Will you lend your support at that time? It’s a yes or no question. Please, no hemming and hawing, no nonsense about how it’s such an impossible event that it’s not worth bothering over. Losing 29 points at Intrade was considered an impossible event when he had the lead, so please don’t pretend that one is possible and the other isn’t.
First off what polls on a national level is Fred at 6 percent? Do you mean at InTrade? Do you mean state polls? Let’s keep apples with apples as much as we can. In Trade is national in scope but even you don’t see it as a poll.
Next, no not based on In Trade. If I saw DH trending in the polls I would look into it as an alternative since Romney and Rudy hold no appeal to me.
As it is I like Duncan but even solving his support issues I don’t know how well he would do in the big chair. Some of that job takes finese I think he lacks and indeed if that was solved it would solve a myriad of problems on both issues.
So to answer clearly IF Fred were at 6 percent in the polls and Duncan passed him I would still support Fred based on current realities of how both men do things.
Would that mean I would not support Hunter if Fred did exit the race, indeed not.
As for the possibility of Duncan making a big jump on In Trade sure it could happen. I would be more impressed when it happened in the polls