This particular post from the Intrade Duncan Hunter forum was definitely included and considered in my comment that “NOT ONE POST there supports your stand-it-on-its head theory that there are no buyers for Hunters contract at 10 cents because it is overvalued.”
And now that you have posted this example here for everyone to see, there won’t be any question abbout who is telling the truth and who is the liar.
You are the liar. I recently went round & round with another Thompson supporter who was calling me a liar. He eventually said that what I was posting was not a lie, I agreed to change ONE SENTENCE. See if you can tell the difference.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts?page=36#36
Yeah, this Thompson campaign is definitely showing signs of imploding. Look at how you guys operate.
Here’s another set of posts. Note what Delphi has to say.
Maybe you could wander on over to the Fred Forum and post what is said there. When I touched on that third rail, it was the ONLY time I’ve ever been suspended from Free Republic.
ko
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Hunter is at 4% in this Angus-Reid poll, and at least one other poll this week.
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19
09/11/2007 08:21:42 Subject: Duncan Hunter gaining traction?
GAW838
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I think immigration is an issue that can kill a candidacy, but can’t necessarily launch one.
In part, this is because it is very important to a certain minority of voters who have hard line against what they call amnesty.
If it didn’t matter at all, McCain would be doing a lot better.
I don’t think that’s the whole explanation though. It seems to me, at least this cycle, like issues have not really been important in driving anyone’s candidacy, save Ron Paul. Certainly, some issue positions have been a way for candidates to engage with one another and score points, but not really competitive candidate has risen due to his stance on a particular issue.
Moreover, even in an environment where a candidate can ride a single issue to the top, he still needs more stature than Hunter had coming into this campaign. So, I remain unsurprised and don’t really see a phenomenon searching for a new explanation so much as a natural consequence of existing assumptions.
Once again, there’s a reason Hunter’s candidacy was greeted with a combination of yawns and ‘really He’s running?’ responses, most people never took him seriously and for good reason.
09/11/2007 13:29:16 Subject: Duncan Hunter gaining traction?
Tozikio
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GAW838 wrote:
It seems to me, at least this cycle, like issues have not really been important in driving anyone’s candidacy
To be honest, I have felt like the Republicans have been dog-paddling the presidency since 1988. Reagan really ran on a set of ideas that stirred people. He could appeal to their patriotism and confidence.
Since then, Willie Horton, Flag Burning, Gays in the Military, Gay Marriage, “Family Values” were the “defining” campaign themes on the Repub side. Reagan had put together a right-leaning coalition of southerners and westerners which was large enough to simply allow “governing from the base” and not bother to reach out or even “think” too much. What the heck was a compassionate conservative or a thousand points of light supposed to be anyway? These were mushy themes.
The candidates seem more pale every cycle, and I think the Republicans have “lost the middle”. And that doesn’t mean voters are happy with the Dems either. I think that’s why the Bloomberg 3rd party contract gets bids in the teens and twenties. Intraders can sense this problem. The ennui of this election is palpable, and people are not ready propel any of the condidates. They’re just going to hold their noses again!
Having said that, I know there is complaining every year about the nomination process. Usually the nominee gains some stature after his acceptance speech.
09/11/2007 18:41:12 Subject: Re:Duncan Hunter gaining traction?
Delphi
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Actually ko, Hunter’s been drawing 3-4% in most polls during the past 2-3 weeks, so there’s a measurable support out there for him. How he cuts through the busy but low-key media buzz of other second-tier candidates like Huckabee and Paul (although I note that a week ago Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post put Huckabee at #3 ahead of McCain and Thompson) is a bit questionable right now.
And now that you have posted this example here for everyone to see, there won’t be any question abbout who is telling the truth and who is the liar.
***Where do you think I got the idea and the material for my post? From these forum posts at Intrade. You’re just mad that it makes your candidate look bad. I can see why. It’s devastating.