No, not really. Many other polls have had him around 36% or so-—quite a bit considering there are a half-dozen solid competitors. And when you look at the state-by-state SurveyUSA polls that show him whipping Hillary in OH, FL, NM, GA, KS, and tied in WI and within three in CT, then it’s pretty impressive. (Mitt and Fred aren’t within 3 points of Hillary in any of these states except GA and KS, although McCain does better than anyone in all of them.)
Regarding the putative efficacy of attacking Hillary hard and often as the key to a Republican victory in November 2008, I offer the following counter opinion that was posted on Elephant Biz on October 10:
The Fix poses a question:What is the effect on Clinton's campaign -- if any -- of being the focus of repeated Republican attacks in these debates? Is there a short-term (nomination fight) versus a long-term (general election) effect? If so, are they different?
The Biz thinks that repeated attacks by the Republican candidates on Clinton only serves to strengthen her position overall, both long term and short term.
In the short term, it helps her because it reinforces her aura of inevitability. Afterall, if the Republicans are going after her this early, they all think she is going to be the nominee. It plays well with the Democratic base who have never had a favorable impression of Republicans personal attacks anyway, and it will move them to identify more closely with the victim, in this case Clinton.
In the long term, we all know that the Republican race will eventually go negative. Once Clinton the Inevitable has the nomination sewed up, she can repeatedly harangue the Republican Party while the Republicans are still quarreling amongst themselves. Additionally, the Republicans bringing up some of her positions, such as her stance on Iraq, may actually help her in the general election because her stance is what the majority of the country actually believes anyway.