Posted on 11/14/2007 8:11:25 AM PST by eastsider
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Rudy Giuliani on top with a nine-point lead over Mitt Romney in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giuliani attracts 26% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide while Romney earns 17% of the vote. John McCain remains in third at 13%, Fred Thompson is at 12% and Mike Huckabee attracts 11%. Ron Paul's is the top choice for 5% and no other Republican candidate reaches 2% (see recent daily numbers). A new survey released today shows Ron Paul attracting 8% of the vote as a Libertarian candidate in the general election.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
From your current analysis, how many additional points would you expect Sen. Thompson to add do to his endorsement of NRLC?
Paul has already said he wouldn’t run third party, as I remember.
Ron Paul attracting 8% of the vote as a Libertarian candidate in the general election.General election? Does this mean that Rasmussen is reporting Ron Paul's numbers as a third-party candidate?
Given how he acts and what he says, he may not even know he is a third party candidate when it happens.
From my numbers (I have been tracking the estimated daily numbers on a spreadsheet,) he would have had to get at least a 17 today to bring the average up a point. A low number should fall off tomorrow and then on Saturday. It will be interesting to watch.
I’ve noticed that too. He’s always up at the end of the week, and down in the beginning of the week.
Between pulling in a few undecideds and peeling off other candidates’ voters, I would hope to see him back at his 18% level by next Monday. That would be a seven-percentage-point increase from his low of 11% yesterday.
I was hoping for thirteen as that would have put him at least at 21.
Romney gains another point and stays in 2nd place for the 4th day in a row. Giulinai drops one, Thompson gains one, but remains in 4th place, 1 point above Huckabee. McCain hold steady in 3rd place.
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This is the first time that I've heard that Rasmussen uses a four-day average. I've looked at the information on their site and it doesn't say this anywhere that I've seen. Can you provide a source for this information?
I am not Crazy about Romeny but if i were a betting dog I would put my money on Romney.
Mostly Huckabee.
I know I've told you that before -- that's why I suggested using a four-period moving average -- but nevertheless, at the bottom of each daily article, they add the following boilerplate (relevant info highlighted):
Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
This is the first time that I've heard that Rasmussen uses a four-day average. I've looked at the information on their site and it doesn't say this anywhere that I've seen. Can you provide a source for this information?I believe it was kevkrom who passed on that information.
i hope you are right but the current Fred Trend looks rather bleak. However, the most important trend we have to stop in Rudy.
Nominating Rudy would be the same as surrendering to the Democrat Party and Surrender is not an option.
That’s right. So today’s (Wednesday’s) result would have Saturday, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday interviews. Tomorrow’s result will “drop” Saturday from the average and roll in today, and so on.
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