Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Dr. Sivana

It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.


8 posted on 11/13/2007 11:18:46 AM PST by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]


To: pissant
Fred came in too late to do much in Iowa or New Hampshire, where he’s just going through the motions. The whole ball game for him is South Carolina, where he must win to carry any “mo” into huge number of primaries close behind.
19 posted on 11/13/2007 11:24:56 AM PST by colorado tanker (I'm unmoderated - just ask Bill O'Reilly)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]

To: pissant
It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.

My apologies, I only read the excerpt.

Either way, I see significant blocks of delegates being picked up by five candidates (Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain and Huckabee), depending on state rules for delegate allotment. With a 15% threshold, for instance, McCain will probably get some in New Hampshire and Arizona. Giuliani will do well in the despondent Northeast and California. Romney will do well in Mormon states and states with family ties (e.g. Michigan and Mass.)Thompson will do well in the south and okay in the midwest and mountain area. Huckabee will get chunks of delegates from several southern states and maybe more if he surprises in Iowa.

This is a recipe for the late primaries (especially PA) becoming more important, and maybe even a brokered convention.
44 posted on 11/13/2007 11:36:14 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (Not a newbie, I just wanted a new screen name.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]

To: pissant

“It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.”

And that state matters far more than Iowa. New Hampshire is utterly meaningless now. 3 out of the last 4 GOP winners in New Hampshire didn’t go on to win the nomination.


480 posted on 11/13/2007 7:35:33 PM PST by DesScorp
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson