[Kevmo]

It’s not a poll.
***I agree. Again.

The data are not interchangeable with polling data.
***The data is BETTER THAN polling data.

The numbers reported are not percentages.
***Yes they are. Asked & answered on another post.

What you are doing is misleading.
***No. Prediction markets are better at predicting than MSM polling. That is not misleading. There are examples where both polls and Markets got things wrong, but there are a lot more examples where the polls get it wrong than the prediction markets. It serves as a data point for people to consider when choosing a candidate.

The Fred followers liked InTrade when he was the leader, but they don’t like it now.
Fred Takes Lead on InTrade!
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1842292/posts

[Petronski]

***The data is BETTER THAN polling data.

Uh, not at this point. The markets are too thin, the results too easy to manipulate.

[processing please hold]

The Fred followers liked InTrade when he was the leader, but they don’t like it now.

BINGO!