We also went through a few discussions of the Intrade market so I’m including that thread as a discussion jumpoff point.
Duncan Hunter is at 5%. Vanity.
Intrade ^ | 10/28/07 | Kevmo
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1917686/posts
Posted on 10/28/2007 4:48:28 PM PDT by Kevmo
Hunter supporters are constantly being told that our candidate is at 1%. The only real basis for this is biased Media polls. An unbiased source would be Intrade, which has Hunter at a $5 (corresponding to 5%) ask price on the faux exchange, no activity on the real exchange. Futures markets have proven to be better indicators than polls.
If you insist on using Intrade as an indicator, at least be honest and use the real money market.