Jeff wins and leads the most laps: JJ would need to finish no better than 19th with no laps led or 20th with at least 1 lap led.
Jeff wins, but does not lead the most laps: JJ would need to finish no better than 20th with no laps led, 22nd with laps led but not the most, or 24th with the most laps led.
JJ crashes out in 43rd without leading a lap: Jeff would need to finish no worse than 14th with no laps led, 15th with laps led but not the most, or 17th with the most laps led.
Jeff basically threw in the towel after the race. Said the only way he could win it is if JJ had problems in Homestead. He didn't really want to win it that way, but would take it.
Still standing with 4 championships with 2 coulda, woulda, shoulda, but that sh*t don't count.