The primary elections are still about two months away, and as we know, the dynamics of a primary election can change on a dime. Remember, Howard Dean led in the polls up until a couple of weeks before the Iowa caucuses in ‘04.
Right now you have a lot of people dissatisfied with the top five candidates. Fred had a chance to capitalize on this void but seems to be fading. Huckabee seemed to get a bump but his support seems very shallow and he has his own liberal leanings.
So who’s left? Hunter, perhaps? About the only thing holding him back is money and name recognition. Those who know him mostly love what he has to bring. But he’s the only one (outside perhaps Tancredo) with a track record of being solidly anti-amnesty and pro-border enforcement, and as we all know that is the crucial issue today.
McCain is a resume candidate. Lots of old Conservative love him for his military service. The assumption that they will automatically transfer their allegiance to Rudy is an unwarranted assumption on the part of the Republican Establishment.
Where McCains supporters go when they finally wise up to the fact that he is the "Candidate to No Where" will be critical to who wins the Republican nod.