FRED VETS, SIGN UP TODAY AT:
Posted on 11/02/2007 9:18:38 AM PDT by eastsider
In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani remains on top, five points ahead of Fred Thompson. Among Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide, Giuliani is preferred by 24% while Thompson is the first choice for 18%. Mitt Romney and John McCain are each at 13% while Mike Huckabee is clinging to double digits at 10%. No other Republican attracts more than 3% support (see recent daily numbers).
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
He’ll be well known if he wins in Iowa and New Hampshire. A win in South Carolina makes him the front runner. I’ve said it before, but the man is running a good campaign.
I’m for Fred. But reality is what it is and we’ve got a split conservative vote. Fred needs to start spending money in Iowa.
I was ok with Bush in 2000.
I’ve learned my lesson.
Rudy is my LAST choice.
I like Hunter, Thompson and Romney.
But I’m not deciding. The state of the race right is such that either Romney or Guiliani will win. Thompson has a slim chance, but slim’s about to pack up and leave town unless Thompson shakes things up.
Initial reaction:
Tickmarks on the x coordinate make the graph easier to read at a glance. Also, fewer dates are better than too many.
Likewise, the 5-point increments on the y coordinate make it easier to read than the 2.5- point increments.
I miss the gridlines, but I thought the others had too many.
Have a great weekend!
“If Romney had no money, would he even be in the race?”
Yes, winning campaigns need money. Is this news to you?
They also need a good candidate. Forbes, Connally, Gramm and others had a lot of money, but never moved in the polls.
Brownback spent a lot before the Iowa straw poll, but came in 3rd.
“Romney advertised to win the Iowa Straw Poll in August and to gain credibility as a contender. “
As has every winning GOP nominee for the last 24 years.
it’s a winning strategy.
I also expect West Hollywood and San Fransicko to hand Callifornia to Trudy as well.
NY primary delegates are winner take all. CA delegates are now awarded on a Congressional district by district basis, with 3 per. This means that CA is going to be a wild card, since Reps are few on the ground in a lot of urban districts, and the rural districts are significantly more conservative.
FRED VETS, SIGN UP TODAY AT:
I’m extremely doubtful Romney will win SC.
“I like Hunter, Thompson and Romney.”
I like the first two, I’d hold my bile and vote for Mitt over Rudy.
“Fred needs to start spending money in Iowa.”
He needs second place in Iowa, not too concerned about New Hampshire so long as Fred wins S. Carolina.
“CA delegates are now awarded on a Congressional district by district basis, with 3 per.”
I had not heard of that, is that a recent change?
Looking forward to seeing him on meet the press. Hope this is the start of an offensive.
The date format is confusing as to which tic it refers to. Can you drop off the year?
Actually it was in effect in 2004, but GWB was unopposed, so it was invisible as far as the results.
That's true, he could be a kingmaker, a position probably not unwelcome to McCain, if he can't have the top spot. All the more reason for his friend Fred to make the call.
FYI: Here is how SC will allocate delegates [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/SC-R.phtml]. Note that they are being penalized 50% of them for moving up their election.
On 22 October 2007, the RNC made a preliminary determination that South Carolina’s Saturday 19 January 2008 primary violates Republican Party Rule Number 16 which states that the process of selecting National Convention Delegates must not begin before Tuesday 5 February 2008. South Carolina is sanctioned 50% of their delegation hence, the number of delegates is decreased from 47 to 24. The eliminated positions include the 3 automatic delegates (State Chair, National Committeewoman and National Committeeman).
Saturday 19 January 2008: All 24 (pre-penalty 44 of 47) of South Carolina’s delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today’s South Carolina Presidential Primary.
(?) (pre-penalty 18) district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state’s 6 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned (?) (pre-penalty 3) National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all (?) (pre-penalty 3) of that district’s National Convention delegates. [Rule 11(b)(4)]
(?) (pre-penalty 26) at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 16 bonus delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide. [Rule 11(b)(6)]
In addition, 0 (pre-penalty 3) party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the South Carolina’s Republican Party, will attend the convention as pledged delegates by virtue of their position.
National Convention delegates are bound for the first ballot at the Convention. If the candidate receives 30% or more of the vote on the first ballot, the delegates are then bound for the second ballot. Otherwise, the delegates are released.
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I hope McCain will do that for Fred. I'm sure it would mean a lot to him, personally and politically.
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