You have no idea about the complexity of the cell. I highly recommend you read the chapter “The Enigma of Life’s Origin,” from a book called “Evolution: A Theory in Crisis” by Michael Denton.
So, you insist on playing with your strawman version of abiogenesis? Interesting.
Abiogensis does not require that a modern cell spontaneously arise, what it does require is an imperfectly self replicating molecule subject to some time consistent selection.
The only reason I can see for you to ignore the requirements determined by science is to enable you to produce some ridiculous and poorly defined calculation that has no resemblance to anything in reality.
BTW, is the 'spontaneous' creation of molecules such as amino acids unlikely?
You might try reading Denton's more recent book.