I am torn because if you hid all polls from me for the last year, and asked me who I liked, I would gravitate towards Hunter and Thompson. Then when you give me the poll data I am left with Thompson. Am I supposed to ignore my own subjective opinions of these people and just say “If the poll says he’s down this week, I should give up”? We are not day trading stocks here. There is plenty of time for Thompson to turn his numbers around, and his fundraising has put him in the ballpark of what he needed for Q307. My next consideration would be watching the next debate (November 6th?). Beyond that, all of this talk about polls is just noise.
“all of this talk about polls is just noise.”
While futures markets CAN be a good indicator, stocks and stock markets crash all the time, even with very saavy investors.