[kevkrom]

A little reality here: Mitt will win IA and NH. No one seriously contests that. He will almost certainly win MI. Of the first four states, the only one Fred even has a shot at is SC, and McCain is leading there, with Mitt surging.

As I pointed out to you on another thread, this 'reality' of yours is wrong, especially SC, where Thompson is the overall leader, followed by Giuliani, and then McCain/Romney.

Also, it is not a given that Romney will win Iowa. Given that he's run essentially unopposed there so far, his lead is way too small. He can be caught by Thompson or even Huckabee. In New Hampshire, Giuliani has a decent shot, and McCain an outside shot. Michigan is another state up for grabs.

And I'll point out once again, general election matchups mean NOTHING at this time. The candidates are running for their party's nominations, not against each other.

[LS]

Look at the next post. Reality? Where. You can’t even read RCP correctly. Look at the average, look at the leader, look at the #2 guy. #2 guys get delegates too. Where are Fred’s delegates?