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To: dennisw

What part of my comments was a dream, they are based on fact? Those things actually have happened, and for good reason? Or is Japan not a mess, 20 years later?

Do you think that Japan likes their extremely strong currency?? Where has that got them?

Do you think Americans today are anxious to pay back their current loans, with more expensive dollars going forward? No way man...

A strong currency is what we had. It meant that Americans could buy overseas goods on the cheap, and unemploy folks here at home. It also brought in enormous amounts of illegal aleins, as they could western union the money home, and spend it much farther there.

I agree, a troublesome weak currency is a problem, but so is a very strong currency. Since currencies balance themselves out through trade and trade discrepencies, really we don’t have to act liek the end of the world is coming.

Aren’t all of you glad that foreign imports are too expensive, and Americans will need to spend their money on domestic products?? Isn’t that what this site and others have bitzed about for years???

If on the other hand, we see US debt need a 7-8-9-10% coupon, then I’d agree we are facing some real trouble.

Go ahead, I dare you, give me a one word answer like “You are stupid...”. If not, feel free and give a detailed easy to understand explination why I’m “dreaming”.


20 posted on 10/18/2007 7:14:48 PM PDT by Professional
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To: Professional

Japan does just great with a strong currency. Canada does great too.

Sorry to give one line answers-——

But when you visit Europe you will be treated like a 3rd wordler with your (mine two) pathetic US Dollar


25 posted on 10/18/2007 7:26:42 PM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
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To: Professional
Do you think that Japan likes their extremely strong currency?? Where has that got them?

Can you think of any Japanese industries that have lost market share in the US? Autos? Entertainment? Home electronics? Business machinery? Machine Tools?

37 posted on 10/18/2007 7:49:40 PM PDT by Last Dakotan
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To: Professional

What is the benefit (other than to speculator types and arbitrageurs) to differently valued and fluctuating currencies?


41 posted on 10/18/2007 7:52:11 PM PDT by Freedom4US
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To: Professional

Here is why I could not disagree with you anymore.

First, a weaker dollar translates into a cut in the real spending power of American consumers—in effect, a reduction in real income.

Second, a weaker dollar weakens the role of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Why should investors and central banks around the world invest in US assets when their value is steadily declining?

Third, the chances of a weaker dollar leading to a sharp reduction in America’s trade deficit is highly unlikely since 40% of the current balance is due to oil imports that are denominated in U.S. dollars. An additional 20% is due to trade with China, which is, of course, controlling the value of its own currency.

Fourth, a weaker dollar is inflationary since it increases the cost of imports.

Fifth, business leaders know that discounting prices may bump near-term revenue and profits but at a real cost to long-term profitability, not to mention inflicting damage to the brand name. This is what we are doing to the brand of America by trying to increase exports by lowering their price in the global marketplace. Better to stand firm on price and sell into global markets on the basis of what is great about American products: superior quality, innovation and service.

Sixth, investors seem to like a weaker dollar since the profits of American multinationals get a boost from foreign earnings being translated into U.S. dollars. Again this is short-term thinking and vastly overstated since most multinationals have sophisticated treasury departments that hedge currency exposures.

What a weaker dollar really does is to encourage American and international investors to invest in non-American markets. The more the dollar drops, the more global equities rise. Many Asian currencies are hitting record highs against the U.S. dollar.

The Australian dollar has climbed to a 25-year highs, while the Singapore dollar has touched 10-year highs. The Brazilian real, which has jumped 18% in value against the U.S. dollar this year, and the Indian rupee’s sharp appreciation against the U.S. dollar during the past year, have supercharged U.S. dollar investors’ returns in those markets.

According to EPFR Global, investors are pouring money into global funds—with net inflows of $96.94 billion into world equity funds so far in 2007, while taking out $9.6 billion out of U.S. equity funds. Brazil’s local stock exchange, the Bovespa, reported that investors have injected $1.2 billion into the market in September alone.

Foreign investors slashed their holdings of U.S. securities by a record amount as the credit squeeze intensified, according to the U.S. Treasury Department. The Treasury said net sales of U.S. market assets—including bonds, notes and equities—were $69.3 billion in August after a revised inflow of $19.5 billion during July. The August outflow exceeded the previous record decline of $21.2 billion in March 1990

Last and perhaps most importantly, I view a policy of weakening the U.S. dollar to improve America’s competitive position as the path of least resistance.

My view is that the value of a nation’s currency reflects the perceived value of country in the global marketplace. Maintaining and strengthening the value of our nation’s currency is in the best interest of American consumers, businesses and investors.


77 posted on 10/18/2007 8:23:30 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: Professional

I’ll give you a one word answer: HUBRIS

Someday you will eat your hubris for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

Regards,
Lurking’


78 posted on 10/18/2007 8:24:28 PM PDT by LurkingSince'98
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To: Professional

I’ll give you a one word answer: HUBRIS

Someday you will eat your hubris for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

Regards,
Lurking’


79 posted on 10/18/2007 8:24:33 PM PDT by LurkingSince'98
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To: Professional

The dollar is coming off HISTORIC highs, which combined with Democrat Policy, has made it MUCH more profitable to manufacture overseas.

If we could get a handle on the DEMOCRAT POLICIES that drove these jobs offshore in the first place, we are getting back to an atmosphere where manufacturing in America can be profitable again...


84 posted on 10/18/2007 8:31:31 PM PDT by tcrlaf (You can lead a Liberal to LOGIC, but you can't make it THINK)
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