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To: snarkybob

“I don’t think the GOP can get it done with just the south and a few Rocky Mountain states, no matter who the candidate is. I also don’t believe Mr. Thompson can carry any states outside the south, and maybe a few Rocky Mountain states.”

In 2004 there were several very close states that might swing another way: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Mexico, New Hampshire, and others generally called battleground states. Events could swing several different states from 2004 to 2008 and Thompson could benefit. At this point, predictions concerning all the close states probably aren’t worth much.


20 posted on 10/10/2007 4:49:04 PM PDT by Will88
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To: Will88

“In 2004 there were several very close states that might swing another way: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Mexico, New Hampshire, and others generally called battleground states. Events could swing several different states from 2004 to 2008 and Thompson could benefit. At this point, predictions concerning all the close states probably aren’t worth much.”

That’s true, but in 2006 several red states that had been solid red went blue. I don’t think any southern candidate can win outside the south and a few Rocky Mountain states in 2008.
I’m not trying to start an argument but the GOP has taken a pounding the last 2 years, and I think moderate/liberal Republicans and the independents from the west coast and northeast not to mention the “battleground states” will cross parties before they vote for another southerner. The GOP should also figure on losing OH, NM, and possibly CO and VA.
Of course they may hold these states, but these states weren’t even in play in 04...well maybe NM. I really can’t see the GOP picking up any states that they didn’t carry in 04 PA will probably stay blue, as well as WI, and didn’t ID go red last time, and it’s in play for 08.


24 posted on 10/10/2007 5:05:24 PM PDT by snarkybob
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