[chessplayer]

“What is in store for the 2007 hurricane season?”

“The Climate Prediction Center forecasts much above normal hurricane activity for 2007:

13-16 named tropical storms
7-9 hurricanes
3-5 major hurricanes (category 3 or higher)
As of September 25, the North Atlantic has seen the following activity:

13 named tropical storms
4 hurricanes
2 major hurricanes (both category 5)”
http://www.pewclimate.org/hurricanes.cfm

Well, the forecast for named tropical storms has been met. We`re 3 short for hurricanes and one short for major hurricanes. And we still have almost 2 more months to go. Time will tell. I know the agw fanatics are crossing their fingers and hoping for more hurricanes.

[Blueflag]

I seem to recall that 2 SUB-tropical systems received names. Also, to get good representative data, it would be good to look into the duration/persistence of the storms — i.e., how long did they exist as tropical systems. My IMPRESSION is that this year, while we have had more storms than last year, has seen storms of short duration/ life span.

I infer you are tyring to imply their forecast was not far off. I would counter that the naming of 2 sub-tropical systems (IIRC) made them look better than actual, AND that the total storm-days was less than last year, per storm. Just a guess on that last part.

NET: They over-estimated the number, intensity and impact of the storm season, again. Their models need work ;-)

p.s. my dad, a 1940’s-era military-educated meteorologist, has correctly called the storm season so far. hmmmmmm