IIRC Kerry carried NY State by 18 percentage points in 2004. In the last poll I saw, Hillary! polled at 11 percentage points ahead of Rudy among New Yorkers. So he is a tougher opponent for her, and while the odds are that she would win New York, I wouldn’t call it a lock.
A few more dumb ideas like the 5K baby bond and who knows what her numbers might look like.
Probably they will be higher. Dumb ideas win over a lot of dumb voters, who are very numerous out there.